IMD Forecast: Better November Rainfall Expected in Key Wheat-Growing Regions

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast normal to above-normal rainfall in parts of central and north-west India during November 2026, the important wheat-sowing period. This may provide some relief to farmers after below-normal rainfall in October.

Where Is Normal to Above-Normal Rainfall Expected?

According to the IMD forecast:

• Madhya Pradesh: Normal to above-normal rainfall is likely.

• Parts of Maharashtra and Gujarat: Normal to above-normal rainfall is expected.

• East Uttar Pradesh and Bihar: Normal to above-normal rainfall is likely.

• West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab: Below-normal rainfall is forecast.

The IMD Director-General, M. Mohapatra, said that rainfall across most parts of the country is likely to remain below normal, with some exceptions in central, north-western and north-eastern regions.

What Does This Mean for Wheat Farmers?

November is an important month for wheat sowing. Rainfall in parts of central India, including Madhya Pradesh and adjoining areas of Maharashtra and Gujarat, may support soil moisture during this period.

However, West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab may receive below-normal rainfall. The IMD noted that wheat cultivation in these regions is largely irrigated, which may help limit the impact of rainfall deficiency.

Overall Rainfall Outlook

The IMD expects India's overall November rainfall to be below 77% of the long-period average (LPA) of 29.7 mm, despite the possibility of normal to above-normal rainfall in selected regions.